shavepocalypse now

[gaseousclay]

I know that many of us like to accumulate lots of shaving goodies, mainly because we all suffer from severe AD but also because I think some of us have irrational fears regarding the shaving industry and scarcity of product.

so, do most of you seriously believe in a shavepocalypse scenario caused by finite shaving product (such as razor blades) or are you like me and think that scarcity of product is a direct result of those of us that buy in bulk and/or the many new DE shavers who are discovering wetshaving? I don't even really think product such as razor blades are becoming scarce....I think demand is outweighing supply and a few fortunate companies are having a hard time keeping up. eventually things will balance out and go back to normal but I think there are certainly 'surges' in demand for any given product.

[DE Shaver]

To be honest, I prefer the director's cut "Shavepocalypse Now Redux" On a more serious note, I've experienced a similar situation with film photography. However, scarcity is largely due to production cuts instigated by a lack of demand and not through mass purchases. Manufacturers will allocate resources to where there is the most profit. With regards to hoarding, many people hoard because they feel their favourite product will change or not be available in the near to mid-term. Hoarders, generally, make up a minority of the customer base for a product.

[Seraphim]

I see what you're getting at here, but I don't agree.

I simply have two words fo you-

Re
Formulation

[instpasr]

I see what you're getting at here, but I don't agree.

I simply have two words fo you-

Re
Formulation

Exactly.....take Williams for example, it's the only shave product in the last hundred years IMHO that's actually gotten better with reformulation. Everything else "they" manage to screw up. Better stock up now before Michiganlover beats us to the Williams

[Seraphim]

Exactly.....take Williams for example, it's the only shave product in the last hundred years IMHO that's actually gotten better with reformulation. Everything else "they" manage to screw up. Better stock up now before Michiganlover beats us to the Williams

I shall not be baited thusly!

[instpasr]

I shall not be baited thusly!

Nuts

[mblakele]

I think those are both valid concerns, not necessarily irrational (with reformulation as a special case of finite supply). I am also concerned about the second-order effect of those surges in hoarding. Suppose a rumor should start about a well-regarded soap... let's say it's Cade. We all go buy as much Cade as we can find. The manufacturer notices a surge in demand and ramps up production, or maybe there is already plenty in the warehouse. But after a little while we have all hoarded as much as we can store, and won't buy any more for years. The manufacturer cuts production, and finally discontinues the product because it isn't selling.

In this scenario, we are our own worst enemies. Our hoarding actually causes products to disappear.

[Mr. Imperial]

I think those are both valid concerns, not necessarily irrational (with reformulation as a special case of finite supply). I am also concerned about the second-order effect of those surges in hoarding. Suppose a rumor should start about a well-regarded soap... let's say it's Cade. We all go buy as much Cade as we can find. The manufacturer notices a surge in demand and ramps up production, or maybe there is already plenty in the warehouse. But after a little while we have all hoarded as much as we can store, and won't buy any more for years. The manufacturer cuts production, and finally discontinues the product because it isn't selling.

In this scenario, we are our own worst enemies. Our hoarding actually causes products to disappear.

Very interesting.

Do you work for P&G perchance?

[gaseousclay]

I am also concerned about the second-order effect of those surges in hoarding. Suppose a rumor should start about a well-regarded soap... let's say it's Cade. We all go buy as much Cade as we can find. The manufacturer notices a surge in demand and ramps up production, or maybe there is already plenty in the warehouse. But after a little while we have all hoarded as much as we can store, and won't buy any more for years. The manufacturer cuts production, and finally discontinues the product because it isn't selling.

In this scenario, we are our own worst enemies. Our hoarding actually causes products to disappear.

agreed. I don't know if this would hold true with razor blades, but I can certainly see that being the case with soaps or creams. i've only recently started buying more razor blades, mainly because when I try to stock up they always seem to be out of stock. I keep thinking that I might as well order in bulk so that the next guy doesn't buy everything up. i'm a little more forgiving with soaps and creams because this stuff has a shelf-life and there's only so much of it I can use in a year, so I never buy a lot of the same product.

[Smokeface]

Either way, this is my new excuse to buy anything shave related...

[Harvitz81]

agreed. I don't know if this would hold true with razor blades, but I can certainly see that being the case with soaps or creams. i've only recently started buying more razor blades, mainly because when I try to stock up they always seem to be out of stock. I keep thinking that I might as well order in bulk so that the next guy doesn't buy everything up. i'm a little more forgiving with soaps and creams because this stuff has a shelf-life and there's only so much of it I can use in a year, so I never buy a lot of the same product.

Tell that to vintage yardley. The scent may dissipate, but the performance still shines through.

[bjh618]

I tend to accumulate gear because it is so scarce here in Aus, so either I order multiple quantities from o/s to make shipping worthwhile, or I buy multiples when I do stumble across a good product

[Saturn]

so, do most of you seriously believe in a shavepocalypse scenario caused by finite shaving product (such as razor blades)...

I think it's a possibility. I don't worry so much about things like soaps and brushes, because even if all the big name shaving brands stop producing shaving soaps, we still have artisan soap makers to see us through. And brushes can be custom made as long as the knots can be ordered.

Razor blades, on the other hand, aren't things that could be easily produced by an individual, and it's conceivable that there may be a time when we won't be able to acquire them anymore. DE shaving is largely unheard of in America and much of Europe, and Gillette is already trying to push its multi-bladed monstrosities in places like India. Also, the financial difficulties faced by American Safety Razor has had some worried about the possible extinction of SE blades.

And as for straights, that's a niche market even by the standards of traditional wetshaving. Blades that last a lifetime aren't bringing in very much profit for the companies that make them (buy once and you're done, unless you're an AD-stricken B&B member), and there are a finite number of vintage straights. You could order a custom straight, though, but those are fairly expensive and present a high barrier to entry for new potential straight shavers.

So... while I don't think a blade-pocalypse is looming just overhead, I do think it's possible that one day we may simply have to switch to carts, simply because nothing else will be available.

[Greglam]

Razor blades, on the other hand, aren't things that could be easily produced by an individual, and it's conceivable that there may be a time when we won't be able to acquire them anymore. DE shaving is largely unheard of in America and much of Europe, and Gillette is already trying to push its multi-bladed monstrosities in places like India. Also, the financial difficulties faced by American Safety Razor has had some worried about the possible extinction of SE blades.

And as for straights, that's a niche market even by the standards of traditional wetshaving. Blades that last a lifetime aren't bringing in very much profit for the companies that make them (buy once and you're done, unless you're an AD-stricken B&B member), and there are a finite number of vintage straights. You could order a custom straight, though, but those are fairly expensive and present a high barrier to entry for new potential straight shavers.

So... while I don't think a blade-pocalypse is looming just overhead, I do think it's possible that one day we may simply have to switch to carts, simply because nothing else will be available.

I am currently 41, nearly 42, years old. I change my blade every three days. Giving myself a generous 50 years remaining on this good earth, I would require 6,100 blades.

That number of blades can be relatively easily stocked, no?

The only question, then, would be: "Would a Derby Extra purchased in 2010/11 still be sharp in 2060?

-Greg

[Shavely Manden]

I am currently 41, nearly 42, years old. I change my blade every three days. Giving myself a generous 50 years remaining on this good earth, I would require 6,100 blades.

That number of blades can be relatively easily stocked, no?

Depends on the blade. Given the supply problems with Iridiums, I've been sorely tempted to buy a few thousand whenever I can, but that would run into money...the eight or nine thousand required to insure a supply for the remainder of my mortal life could easily run $1800-3060, which, while not much in the big scheme of things, is still a lot to drop on a shaving purchase.

The only question, then, would be: "Would a Derby Extra purchased in 2010/11 still be sharp in 2060?

If stored in a cool, dry environment, I don't see why it wouldn't be. Guys are shaving with vintage Gillette blades, so surely modern stainless blades should last as well.

[roboboticus]

I figure if the blade-apocalypse occurs it'll give me that needed kick in the butt to start straight-shaving.

[Swarovskilainen]

If I buy 5720 featherbaldes I will be able to shve untill Im 100 years old. the other stuff I can learn to make myself.

[memoryleak]

There's a bill in my home state's legislature to tax internet sales. I'm buying all that I can now over the web to keep my hard earned dough out
of the hands of those money grubbing progressive socialists before the bill becomes law.

[bythbook]

...

The only question, then, would be: "Would a Derby Extra purchased in 2010/11 still be sharp in 2060?

-Greg

still????

heh. only if it somehow gets sharp between 2010/11 and 2060.




Snarking aside, this is an interesting thread, as I'm a connoisseur of vintage soaps and vintage aftershaves... and stuff. (ahahhahahahhaha big word, means "hoarder")....

Reformulation is a concern, always - e.g. Penhaligon's shaving soap w/ tallow; Old Spice and English Leather after shaves & cologne; - But companies' going out of business or just plain dropping products would be my biggest worry - see Yardley soap, Old Spice soap, English Leather soap, Aramis/JHL soap - but also Wrisleys, House for Men, Sportsman, Paislay's, Houbigant, and dozens of others we probably haven't even heard of. Gone gone gone... and most of the poor b*st*rds who used those products never knew what hit 'em. It was canned goop for them!

Me... I'm stockin' up.

I use IPs and Crystals for blades - not too hard to imagine those guys becoming unavailable sometime soon... [omigod! I only have 300 hundred or so of those on hand.... I'd better get an order in... somewhere.]

[DougK]

I'm not too worried about it. Like someone else said, it would be the push for me to go get a straight. I don't mind the occasional cartridge shave, but I'm not going back to it as my daily routine.